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Snow/Ice possible on Sun 2/21?

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cardsfan
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weathermatrix
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Post  weathermatrix Thu Feb 18, 2010 7:44 pm

We will need to follow the models closely for Sun 2/21 we could get snow and ice.

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Post  weatherplus Thu Feb 18, 2010 7:49 pm

Way too warm. All rain event!!! No winter weather at all for Springfield and points to the south.

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Post  weathermatrix Thu Feb 18, 2010 7:59 pm

That sucks was hoping for atleast one more winter event before spring. Sad

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Post  cardsfan Thu Feb 18, 2010 8:10 pm

don't rule any snow or ice out yet the nws in springfield has a map showing springfield and along i44 in the icy zone with rain to south and snow to the north but thats probaly going to change because the temps are going to be well above 32 degrees

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Post  weathermatrix Thu Feb 18, 2010 8:33 pm

cardsfan wrote:don't rule any snow or ice out yet the nws in springfield has a map showing springfield and along i44 in the icy zone with rain to south and snow to the north but thats probaly going to change because the temps are going to be well above 32 degrees

I hope we get something wintery.

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Post  weathermatrix Fri Feb 19, 2010 5:50 pm

Looks like it may cool down for sunday

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Post  weatherplus Fri Feb 19, 2010 6:48 pm

Still low 40's with boring old rain for us. Maybe some flurries Sunday night. Southern Iowa is going to get all the snow with models showing 12-18 inches!!!

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Post  dalton92 Fri Feb 19, 2010 7:20 pm

My son is going on a band trip to Warrensburg, MO from Forsyth, MO tomorrow. They won't be heading back until Sunday morning. What do you all think about the weather up that way at that time? I'm trying to decide if I should let him go. Thoughts?
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Post  weatherplus Fri Feb 19, 2010 8:08 pm

Could possibly get messy up there Saturday night into Sunday but not under any weather watches at the time. Here is the forecast. http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?site=eax&zmx=1&zmy=1&map.x=193&map.y=183

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Post  Bowtie Fri Feb 19, 2010 9:14 pm

weatherplus wrote:Southern Iowa is going to get all the snow with models showing 12-18 inches!!!

12 to 18 inches? Weatherplus, can you possibly explain to us as to why nobody is forecasting that much snow up there?

Here are a couple of sites that you need to check out before putting very much faith in those models:
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/winter_wx.shtml
and
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/wxstory.php?site=dmx
Bowtie
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Post  Gary_Monett Fri Feb 19, 2010 9:28 pm

Looks like we will dodge another bullet as far as winter weather goes with this storm. Precip could be heavy across the region on Sunday. In fact, some areas could pick up over an inch of rain and there could be some thunder judging by the convective parameters.

Far northern sections of the Ozarks could get messy Saturday night into Sunday. Going to be a close call. Those areas would experience some wintry mix type precip.
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Post  weatherplus Fri Feb 19, 2010 10:01 pm

Well the GFS was showing that earlier today. The new run shows 10-12 inches up there, and NAM pretty close to that as well. I know they over do it, but I figured if that area had the amount of liquid forecasted as we are getting it would be easy to get that snow. We are forecasted to get 1-2 inches of rain, so that could be 10-20 inches of snow if it was cold enough here.

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Post  KSPR Craig Carnesi Fri Feb 19, 2010 11:11 pm

If anything I think we'll see some light snow on the backside of this storm system late Sunday night and through the early part of Monday.

At this time I'm not too concerned about accumulation. We'll keep an eye on it for sure...
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Post  Bowtie Sat Feb 20, 2010 6:05 am

I'm sorry if the NAM forecast map below disappoints anyone....

[img]Snow/Ice possible on Sun 2/21? Nam_0010[/img]

It appears at this time that most of us in SW MO will only see anywhere from a trace to perhaps 3 inches in the far northern and northeast locations.

For those who still want a major snow event maybe the next one. Just keep in mind that we all still have all of March and April. I still remember the March 13, 1999 snowstorm where many of us received 10 + inches.

Happy forecasting!!!
Bowtie
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